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AI Experts Predict 2026: 77% Doubt AGI Will Be Achieved, Law Schools Lag in Tech Training

A survey reveals 77% of legal professionals doubt AGI will be realized by 2026, while over half criticize law schools for inadequate tech training.

As 2026 begins, a survey by The National Law Review has gathered insights from 85 legal professionals to explore the anticipated effects of artificial intelligence (AI) on the legal profession in the coming year. This survey expands on prior annual predictions, including findings from 2025, and addresses crucial topics such as the likelihood of achieving artificial general intelligence (AGI), the potential for AI to replace entry-level lawyers, disciplinary measures for fabricated AI-generated filings, and the preparedness of U.S. law schools in training students for an AI-enhanced legal landscape.

The survey’s methodology includes respondents primarily drawn from the editor’s professional network, which may not represent a balanced cross-section of the legal field. Participants possess considerable exposure to AI, possibly skewing the results. The insights shared should be interpreted with caution, as they do not reflect the broader legal community’s sentiments. Among the 84 respondents, a variety of perspectives emerged on several key questions.

When asked whether AI will replace entry-level lawyers within the next five years, only 2% responded affirmatively. A significant majority, 93%, believe that AI will not replace these positions, with 3% unsure. This suggests a prevailing confidence in the enduring necessity for human legal professionals, at least in the near term.

In another revealing query about the potential for achieving AGI by 2026, overwhelming skepticism was expressed, with 77.4% of respondents indicating that they do not expect such advancements within this timeframe. Just 9.5% viewed the attainment of AGI as a possibility for this year, while 4.8% remained unsure. This skepticism aligns with a broader discussion within the tech community about the realistic timeframe for reaching AGI capabilities.

The survey also probed opinions on disciplinary actions related to fabricated AI-generated citations or filings. A mere 5% of respondents supported disbarment for lawyers engaging in such practices. In contrast, 1% opposed any disciplinary measures, while 7% were uncertain. This suggests an emerging ethical landscape where the legal profession grapples with the implications of AI misuse.

Furthermore, a significant number of respondents expressed concerns regarding the adequacy of current legal education. A majority, 51.9%, felt that U.S. law schools are only partially preparing students for the integration of legal technology, highlighting notable gaps in education. Meanwhile, 32.1% believed that law schools are failing to adequately equip students, with only 2.5% affirming that students are adequately prepared, and 13.6% remaining uncertain.

This survey sheds light on the evolving landscape of legal technology as professionals anticipate an increasingly AI-driven environment. As AI technologies continue to advance, the legal industry must adapt both its practices and educational frameworks to harness these innovations effectively. The responses from legal professionals reveal a cautious optimism tempered with a realistic understanding of the challenges ahead.

Looking forward, the evolving discussion surrounding AI in the legal field will likely gain momentum as technological capabilities expand. The full spectrum of challenges and opportunities presented by AI remains an ongoing conversation among legal practitioners, academia, and technologists. The insights from “85 Predictions for AI and the Law in 2026” may serve as a crucial touchstone for understanding the trajectory of AI’s impact on legal practices in the near future.

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The AiPressa Staff team brings you comprehensive coverage of the artificial intelligence industry, including breaking news, research developments, business trends, and policy updates. Our mission is to keep you informed about the rapidly evolving world of AI technology.

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