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Microsoft’s $30.9B Profit Miss Sparks Sell-Off: Why Analysts Still Back the AI Giant

Microsoft’s stock plummets 3.32% to $409.31, despite a $30.9B profit and 39% Azure growth, as investors fret over rising capital expenditures and slowing future growth.

Microsoft (MSFT) faced a dramatic decline in its market value, losing over $350 billion in just hours following the release of its fiscal second-quarter earnings on January 29, 2026. Despite reporting revenue growth of 17% year over year to $81.3 billion, which exceeded analysts’ estimates, and a 24% increase in earnings per share (EPS) to $4.41, investors reacted negatively. The company’s net income rose to $30.9 billion, yet concerns surrounding high capital expenditures and projected slower growth in its Azure cloud platform sparked a sell-off.

Investors expressed concern over Microsoft’s capital expenditures (capex), which reached $37.5 billion in the last quarter. For context, this expenditure significantly surpassed Walmart’s profit over the past four quarters combined, raising questions about the efficiency and potential returns of such heavy spending. Although substantial investment in technology and infrastructure is commonplace in the tech sector, impatience among shareholders regarding immediate returns seems to have contributed to the stock’s decline.

Moreover, while Azure reported a robust 39% year-over-year revenue growth, projections indicated a likely slowdown in growth in the near future. This anticipated dip overshadowed the positive results, leading to a stark reaction from the market. Despite Azure’s solid performance, the prospect of a slowdown prompted some investors to jump ship, contributing to the downturn in Microsoft’s stock price, which fell by 3.32% to $409.31.

With a current market capitalization of $3.1 trillion, Microsoft remains one of the few companies to break the $350 billion cap mark, presenting a mixed picture for long-term investors. While the recent sell-off raises valid concerns, many analysts still view Microsoft as a strong candidate for investment in the artificial intelligence (AI) sector. The company’s strategic focus on long-term growth, particularly in areas like AI and cloud computing, positions it well for future success, despite short-term fluctuations in stock value.

Some analysts believe that the current price drop offers a more attractive entry point for new and existing investors. At around 26.2 times its projected earnings over the next 12 months, Microsoft’s valuation is lower than its historical averages, suggesting potential upside as the market stabilizes. The broader sentiment remains that Microsoft is investing heavily in future projects that may not yield immediate profits but are crucial for sustaining its competitive edge in the rapidly evolving tech landscape.

Investors are encouraged to focus on the long-term implications of Microsoft’s spending strategy. While the hefty capex may impact short-term margins, the company is positioning itself for sustained growth in a fluctuating market. Even if Azure’s growth slows, predictions indicate continued revenue growth between 37% and 38% for the upcoming quarter, which should be viewed positively given the competitive landscape dominated by Amazon’s AWS.

In conclusion, while the recent volatility in Microsoft’s stock price warrants careful consideration by investors, the company’s fundamentals remain robust. Its investments in AI and cloud technology signal a commitment to long-term value creation. As the market adjusts to these dynamics, Microsoft may present a compelling opportunity for those willing to embrace a longer investment horizon.

Microsoft continues to be a key player in the tech sector, and its ongoing innovations in AI and cloud computing will likely shape its trajectory for years to come.

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The AiPressa Staff team brings you comprehensive coverage of the artificial intelligence industry, including breaking news, research developments, business trends, and policy updates. Our mission is to keep you informed about the rapidly evolving world of AI technology.

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