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Okta Upgraded to Buy at Jefferies; Palo Alto Reports 99% AI Attack Rate

Jefferies upgraded Okta to Buy with a new price target of $125, while Palo Alto reported 99% of security executives faced AI attacks in the past year.

NEW YORK — Dec. 16, 2025 (early afternoon ET) — Cybersecurity stocks exhibited relative resilience on Tuesday, even as the broader U.S. market declined amid delayed economic data, sector rotations, and renewed sensitivity to interest rates. By approximately 2:00 p.m. ET, the Dow was down ~0.63%, the S&P 500 off ~0.42%, and the Nasdaq marginally lower at ~0.06%. Investors were processing a delayed jobs report while reassessing expectations for Federal Reserve policy in 2026. Amid this backdrop, cybersecurity stocks were buoyed by several prominent themes: the expanding attack surface due to artificial intelligence (AI), the prioritization of identity security in budget allocations, and the trend of vendor consolidation shaping both fundamentals and valuations within the sector.

The sector showed a mixed-to-positive performance, particularly among identity and platform-focused companies. As of around 2:25 p.m. ET, notable movements included Okta (OKTA), which rose 2.06%, CyberArk (CYBR) increasing 1.96%, and SentinelOne (S) gaining 1.33%. Other key players such as Zscaler (ZS), Fortinet (FTNT), and Palo Alto Networks (PANW) also saw increases, albeit smaller. Meanwhile, cybersecurity ETFs like the ETFMG Prime Cyber Security ETF (HACK) and the First Trust Nasdaq Cybersecurity ETF (CIBR) were up 0.37% and 0.62%, respectively.

Among the most significant developments was a move by Jefferies, which upgraded Okta from Hold to Buy and raised its price target to $125 from $90. The firm argued that Okta’s stock has reached a “trough valuation” and highlighted upcoming growth catalysts as the company heads into 2026. Jefferies framed identity security as an early beneficiary of AI adoption, noting that many Chief Information Security Officers (CISOs) are prioritizing this area in their budgets as AI becomes more integrated into enterprise operations. The analyst suggested that consensus growth projections for Okta’s FY27 might be conservative if demand for identity solutions continues to rise.

This positive sentiment extends beyond Okta. Jefferies posited that the overall demand for cybersecurity is likely to remain robust, reflecting IT budget growth while favoring larger platform providers due to ongoing vendor consolidation. Identity is increasingly recognized as critical for managing and securing the expanse of human and machine identities, which could elevate sentiment across adjacent categories like cloud security and endpoint protection.

Palo Alto Networks contributed to the ongoing discourse about AI-driven risks, despite not moving significantly on earnings. In its “State of Cloud Security Report 2025,” the company revealed that 99% of surveyed security executives reported at least one attack on their AI systems in the past year, with API attacks rising by 41% year-over-year. The report also underscored the issue of tool sprawl, with an average of 17 cloud security tools from five vendors being used, while 97% of respondents expressed a desire to consolidate their cloud security frameworks. This analysis highlights critical vulnerabilities as AI accelerates operational demands, further emphasizing the appeal of large, comprehensive platforms capable of integration and automation.

In separate news, Fortinet made headlines with its integration of security solutions within AI infrastructure. The company announced an integrated offering featuring FortiGate VM running on NVIDIA’s BlueField-3 DPU, targeting AI data centers. This move positions Fortinet as a pivotal player in the evolving landscape of AI infrastructure security. The firm’s narrative also included its Unified SIEM platform, seen as a consolidation tool for threat detection and response. Zacks highlighted Fortinet’s solid Q3 2025 metrics, including a 13% year-over-year increase in billings to $1.60 billion and revenue growth of 12% to $1.51 billion, reinforcing its market position as organizations seek to streamline operations in the face of growing cybersecurity threats.

Despite the prevailing market pressures, cybersecurity stocks continue to exhibit strong fundamentals. Analysts have noted that while the broader tech sector may face dispersion, large cybersecurity platforms are increasingly treated as core holdings due to their recurring revenue models and resilience in demand. This perspective is vital as the market navigates the complexities of macroeconomic conditions, emphasizing the notion that cybersecurity investment remains crucial, irrespective of economic fluctuations. The ongoing integration of AI into security protocols, alongside the consolidation trends, positions the cybersecurity sector favorably for future growth.

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Rachel Torres
Written By

At AIPressa, my work focuses on exploring the paradox of AI in cybersecurity: it's both our best defense and our greatest threat. I've closely followed how AI systems detect vulnerabilities in milliseconds while attackers simultaneously use them to create increasingly sophisticated malware. My approach: explaining technical complexities in an accessible way without losing the urgency of the topic. When I'm not researching the latest AI-driven threats, I'm probably testing security tools or reading about the next attack vector keeping CISOs awake at night.

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